resolves Aug 13, 2026
Clacton by-election Winner
The field
Each candidate is its own coin. Probabilities sum below 100% — the market keeps room for what it doesn’t know. Pick one to flip.
- Nigel Farage99%
- Person E50%
- Person F50%
- Person G50%
- Person H50%
- Person I50%
- Person J50%
- Person K50%
- Person L50%
- Person M50%
- Person N50%
- Person O50%
- Person P50%
- Person Q50%
- Person R50%
- Person S50%
- Person T50%
- Person U50%
- Person V50%
- Person W50%
- Person X50%
- Person Y50%
- Person Z50%
- Person AA50%
- Person AB50%
- Person AC50%
- Person AD50%
- Person AE50%
- Person AF50%
- Person AG50%
- Person AH50%
- Person AI50%
- Person AJ50%
- Person AK50%
- Person AL50%
- Person AM50%
- Person AN50%
- Person AO50%
- Person AP50%
- Person AQ50%
- Person AR50%
- someone else50%
- Count Binface1%