resolves Sep 16, 2026
Fed Decision in September?
The field
Each candidate is its own coin. Probabilities sum below 100% — the market keeps room for what it doesn’t know. Pick one to flip.
- there59%
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?39%
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?1%
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?1%
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?1%