resolves Dec 31, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
The field
Each candidate is its own coin. Probabilities sum below 100% — the market keeps room for what it doesn’t know. Pick one to flip.
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?100%
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 11?99%
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 13?97%
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?95%
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18?93%
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 20?92%
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?90%
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?85%
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?77%
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?69%