resolves Nov 7, 2028
Presidential Election Winner 2028
The field
Each candidate is its own coin. Probabilities sum below 100% — the market keeps room for what it doesn’t know. Pick one to flip.
- JD Vance20%
- Gavin Newsom14%
- Marco Rubio12%
- Jon Ossoff6%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez5%
- Kamala Harris4%
- Josh Shapiro3%
- Pete Buttigieg2%
- Tucker Carlson2%
- Donald Trump2%
- Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson2%
- Ron DeSantis2%
- Andy Beshear1%
- Thomas Massie1%
- Ro Khanna1%
- Donald Trump Jr.1%
- JB Pritzker1%
- Jamie Dimon1%
- Tulsi Gabbard1%
- Wes Moore1%
- Greg Abbott1%
- James Talarico1%
- Elon Musk1%
- Glenn Youngkin1%
- Ivanka Trump1%
- Stephen Smith1%
- Michelle Obama1%
- Eric Trump1%
- Tim Walz1%
- Gretchen Whitmer1%
- LeBron James1%
- Pete Hegseth1%
- Nikki Haley1%
- Vivek Ramaswamy1%
- Kim Kardashian1%
- Zohran Mamdani1%
- Jalen Brunson1%