resolves Nov 8, 2028
Presidential Election Winner 2028
The field
Each candidate is its own coin. Probabilities sum below 100% — the market keeps room for what it doesn’t know. Pick one to flip.
- JD Vance17%
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11%
- Marco Rubio9%
- Gavin Newsom8%
- Ron DeSantis6%
- Kamala Harris3%
- Pete Buttigieg3%
- Josh Shapiro3%
- Andy Beshear2%
- Thomas Massie2%
- Raphael Warnock2%
- Tucker Carlson1%
- Donald Trump1%
- Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
- James Talarico1%
- Wes Moore1%
- Mark Kelly1%
- Ro Khanna1%
- JB Pritzker1%
- Ivanka Trump1%
- Ted Cruz1%
- Abdul El-Sayed1%