resolves Jan 21, 2029
Presidential Election Winner 2028
The field
Each candidate is its own coin. Probabilities sum below 100% — the market keeps room for what it doesn’t know. Pick one to flip.
- JD Vance21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
- Marco Rubio9%
- Gavin Newsom8%
- Kamala Harris4%
- Josh Shapiro3%
- Pete Buttigieg3%
- Ron DeSantis2%
- Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson2%
- Tucker Carlson2%
- Mark Kelly2%
- Donald Trump1%
- Andy Beshear1%
- Thomas Massie1%
- Wes Moore1%
- Ro Khanna1%
- James Talarico1%
- JB Pritzker1%
- Ivanka Trump1%