resolves Nov 7, 2028
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
The field
Each candidate is its own coin. Probabilities sum below 100% — the market keeps room for what it doesn’t know. Pick one to flip.
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
- J.D. Vance38%
- Marco Rubio21%
- Tucker Carlson5%
- Donald Trump Jr.3%
- Ron DeSantis2%
- Donald Trump2%
- Glenn Youngkin1%
- Vivek Ramaswamy1%
- Tulsi Gabbard1%
- Ivanka Trump1%
- Thomas Massie1%
- Rand Paul1%
- Marjorie Taylor Greene1%
- Ted Cruz1%
- Elon Musk1%
- Kim Kardashian1%
- Nikki Haley1%
- Greg Abbott1%
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.1%
- Brian Kemp1%
- Josh Hawley1%
- Katie Britt1%
- Tom Brady1%
- Steve Bannon1%
- Matt Gaetz1%
- Eric Trump1%
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders1%
- Pete Hegseth1%
- Byron Donalds1%
- Elise Stefanik1%
- Erika Kirk1%
- Joe Kent1%
- John Thune1%
- Kristi Noem1%
- Mike Pence1%