resolves Jan 1, 2027
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
The field
Each candidate is its own coin. Probabilities sum below 100% — the market keeps room for what it doesn’t know. Pick one to flip.
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?80%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?65%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?47%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?36%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?22%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?12%