resolves Jan 1, 2027
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
The field
Each candidate is its own coin. Probabilities sum below 100% — the market keeps room for what it doesn’t know. Pick one to flip.
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?68%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?38%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 15, 2026?27%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?16%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?5%