resolves Aug 31, 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
The field
Each candidate is its own coin. Probabilities sum below 100% — the market keeps room for what it doesn’t know. Pick one to flip.
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?81%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?76%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?67%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?41%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?35%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?16%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?14%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?6%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?4%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?1%