resolves Oct 31, 2026
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
The field
Each candidate is its own coin. Probabilities sum below 100% — the market keeps room for what it doesn’t know. Pick one to flip.
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?98%
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?93%
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?83%
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?78%
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?60%
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?50%
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?44%
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?37%
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?28%